Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 1091.740541 1244.511338 1416.365283 1625.053209 1873.011670 2159.939262 2519.587139
2025-06-08 850.349566 1043.942314 1282.979372 1603.951359 2030.023543 2585.405280 3379.686404
2025-06-15 744.256533 957.138539 1236.044809 1636.112867 2208.680809 3020.293255 4299.165772
2025-06-22 642.027566 854.542144 1145.590746 1584.691557 2251.255541 3262.023402 4988.336392
2025-06-29 567.652131 777.267461 1075.130673 1544.126447 2293.193884 3498.712355 5713.848244
2025-07-06 506.450656 710.124918 1008.694220 1496.317385 2310.377473 3691.590032 6404.404964
2025-07-13 479.905893 689.929484 1008.131573 1548.661798 2495.749123 4200.118456 7812.590178
2025-07-20 448.891823 659.109164 986.667604 1562.278158 2614.458421 4610.179166 9146.208841
2025-07-27 429.407437 643.874973 987.572686 1612.654289 2806.138062 5198.138187 11059.175001
2025-08-03 410.595729 627.581053 984.400166 1654.410777 2987.359693 5804.265691 13238.229111
2025-08-10 396.552784 617.562099 990.320454 1712.826522 3210.997636 6554.069105 16095.220189
2025-08-17 374.530050 592.023876 966.370257 1710.830577 3307.857561 7036.988524 18418.027239
2025-08-24 348.815296 559.465652 929.326626 1683.827131 3358.465111 7453.864708 20858.890678
2025-08-31 326.204553 530.742205 897.001725 1663.344793 3423.688002 7937.548667 23840.281938
2025-09-07 312.889523 517.247102 891.315761 1696.725344 3620.874931 8834.388159 28893.588674
2025-09-14 290.577991 485.537902 847.746530 1642.993380 3595.012781 9092.446113 31629.406468
2025-09-21 271.725577 458.790542 811.405622 1600.578698 3590.405081 9416.222634 34908.864770
2025-09-28 253.813084 432.516849 773.736509 1550.613387 3557.458931 9645.333167 37958.180654
2025-10-05 248.087491 428.897956 781.187177 1605.320401 3818.314015 10929.993381 47551.261063
2025-10-12 238.818981 417.713763 772.036895 1619.554587 3969.631589 11898.744594 56529.030344
2025-10-19 233.641775 414.121001 778.358153 1672.227543 4245.614157 13446.149770 71232.110410
2025-10-26 227.930895 409.010306 780.915153 1715.900975 4505.661332 15057.583871 89088.861656
2025-11-02 223.861695 406.890142 789.735548 1777.017946 4837.397330 17144.841288 115045.272924